TOR
2–4
FLA
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-3
2–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 5-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
09213014236
FLA
1132619428
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 0–1
TOR 4-3 · FLA 5-3 · Game 1 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Panthers
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (4.9 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 36 and 28 shots on goal.
TOR 4.9 xG · 36 shots
FLA 2.4 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 1.2
2nd
1.3 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
2.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Cousins · 1st 09:25 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 07:58 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Knies · 2nd 08:09 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Michael Bunting · 2nd 14:51 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 17:47 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Brandon Montour · 3rd 12:24 · 2–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 82.
TOR 82%FLA 18%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Cousins · 1st 09:25 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 07:58 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Knies · 2nd 08:09 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Michael Bunting · 2nd 14:51 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 17:47 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Brandon Montour · 3rd 12:24 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–4
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 4.9 xGA
Stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
