TOR
2–3
FLA
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-4
2–3
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
215010012237
FLA
1929011329
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 0–2
TOR 4-4 · FLA 6-3 · Game 2 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 0–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Panthers
The Maple Leafs let a 2–0 lead get away: the Panthers came back with three unanswered goals — Barkov's equalizer — and won 2–3. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 37 and 29 shots on goal.
TOR 4.3 xG · 37 shots
FLA 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.3 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexander Kerfoot · 1st 02:20 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 05:10 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Anton Lundell · 1st 11:13 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 00:19 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 01:06 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 76.
TOR 76%FLA 24%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexander Kerfoot · 1st 02:20 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 05:10 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Anton Lundell · 1st 11:13 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 00:19 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 01:06 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
