Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 5-6
2–3
Final / OTL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 8-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
01311611409252
FLA
2120180716343
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 1–4
TOR 5-6 · FLA 8-4 · Game 5 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 1–4
Maple Leafs fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (4.2 to 4.1 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost it in overtime on Cousins's goal. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.2 expected goals to 4.1, on 52 and 43 shots on goal.
TOR 4.2 xG · 52 shots
FLA 4.1 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.6
2nd
1.3 · 1.3
3rd
0.5 · 0.2
OT
1.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 03:31 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 16:18 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 07:50 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 3rd 15:33 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Nick Cousins · OT 15:32 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 51.
TOR 51%FLA 49%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 03:31 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 16:18 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 07:50 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 3rd 15:33 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Nick Cousins · OT 15:32 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
40/43 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
50/52 saves · 2 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.