TOR
6–5
MTL
Final / SO · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-0-0
6–5
Final / SOW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 0-0-1
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TOR
010316213031642
MTL
1111239020524
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 1-0-0 · MTL 0-0-1 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Canadiens
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Maple Leafs erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Matthews's equalizer with 1:07 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in a shootout. Ilya Samsonov allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 42 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 3.8 xG · 42 shots
MTL 2.2 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.3
3rd
1.0 · 0.9
OT
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Evans · 1st 03:01 · 0–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
2
Alex Newhook · 2nd 01:10 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 07:46 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 14:51 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 19:15 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Cole Caufield · 3rd 04:25 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Alex Newhook · 3rd 05:47 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Jesse Ylonen · 3rd 11:55 · 3–5 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 15:28 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
10
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:53 · 5–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 74.
TOR 74%MTL 26%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Evans · 1st 03:01 · 0–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
2
Alex Newhook · 2nd 01:10 · 0–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 07:46 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 14:51 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 19:15 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Cole Caufield · 3rd 04:25 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Alex Newhook · 3rd 05:47 · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Jesse Ylonen · 3rd 11:55 · 3–5
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 15:28 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
10
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:53 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Maple Leafs
Goaltending
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/42 saves · 5 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
