TOR
7–4
MIN
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 2-0-0
7–4
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 1-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
31219312733
MIN
11329110432
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 2-0-0 · MIN 1-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Wild
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 2.7, and a 7–4 win to show for it. Filip Gustavsson allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 32 shots on goal.
TOR 4.0 xG · 33 shots
MIN 2.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 1.4
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Hartman · 1st 09:32 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 10:54 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Auston Matthews · 1st 12:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 1st 19:37 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 03:35 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Matt Boldy · 2nd 04:09 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Marco Rossi · 2nd 09:51 · 4–3 · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 09:54 · 5–3 · snap shot, a great chance (42%)
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 10:25 · 6–3 · wrap around shot, a good chance (19%)
10
William Nylander · 3rd 12:14 · 7–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 17:32 · 7–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 68.
TOR 68%MIN 32%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Hartman · 1st 09:32 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 10:54 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Auston Matthews · 1st 12:35 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 1st 19:37 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 03:35 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Matt Boldy · 2nd 04:09 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Marco Rossi · 2nd 09:51 · 4–3
Bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 09:54 · GWG · 5–3
Snap shot, a great chance (42%)
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 10:25 · 6–3
Wrap around shot, a good chance (19%)
10
William Nylander · 3rd 12:14 · 7–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 17:32 · 7–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
7
Marcus Foligno, Brock Faber · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/33 saves · 7 GA · 4.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
