TOR
1–4
CHI
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 2-1-0
1–4
FinalL
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 2-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
07112017136
CHI
0931319431
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 2-1-0 · CHI 2-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Blackhawks
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (4.4 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Arvid Soderblom stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 36 and 31 shots on goal.
TOR 4.4 xG · 36 shots
CHI 2.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
2.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
MacKenzie Entwistle · 2nd 02:59 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
John Tavares · 2nd 05:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Corey Perry · 2nd 14:46 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Tyler Johnson · 2nd 17:05 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Taylor Raddysh · 3rd 19:54 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 74.
TOR 74%CHI 26%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
MacKenzie Entwistle · 2nd 02:59 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
John Tavares · 2nd 05:14 · 1–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Corey Perry · 2nd 14:46 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Tyler Johnson · 2nd 17:05 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Taylor Raddysh · 3rd 19:54 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
2
William Nylander, Mark Giordano · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
