Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 5-3-1
1–4
FinalL
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 5-2-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
05013112130
LAK
27110110427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 5-3-1 · LAK 5-2-2 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Kings
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.5 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Cam Talbot stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kings created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 27 and 30 shots on goal.
TOR 2.2 xG · 30 shots
LAK 3.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andreas Englund · 1st 06:38 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Phillip Danault · 1st 11:40 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Arthur Kaliyev · 2nd 09:46 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
John Tavares · 3rd 08:25 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Adrian Kempe · 3rd 12:13 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (54%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 29.
TOR 29%LAK 71%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andreas Englund · 1st 06:38 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Phillip Danault · 1st 11:40 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Arthur Kaliyev · 2nd 09:46 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
John Tavares · 3rd 08:25 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Adrian Kempe · 3rd 12:13 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (54%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.