TOR
6–5
TBL
Final / OT · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 6-4-2
6–5
Final / OTW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 5-3-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
1821221212634
TBL
4140611100531
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
TOR 6-4-2 · TBL 5-3-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Lightning
Down 1–4 in the 1st period, the Maple Leafs erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Jarnkrok's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Jarnkrok's goal. Jonas Johansson allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 34 and 31 shots on goal.
TOR 2.5 xG · 34 shots
TBL 2.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.6 · 0.6
3rd
1.2 · 0.9
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 03:42 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 04:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 06:11 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 11:27 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Brayden Point · 1st 15:13 · 1–4 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 02:22 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 2nd 05:42 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
8
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 01:55 · 4–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Mitch Marner · 3rd 02:03 · 5–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:34 · 5–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
11
Calle Jarnkrok · OT 00:46 · 6–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 51.
TOR 51%TBL 49%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 03:42 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 04:17 · 1–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 06:11 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 11:27 · PP · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Brayden Point · 1st 15:13 · PP · 1–4
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 02:22 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 2nd 05:42 · 3–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
8
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 01:55 · 4–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Mitch Marner · 3rd 02:03 · 5–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:34 · 5–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
11
Calle Jarnkrok · OT 00:46 · GWG · 6–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2
Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
8
Nick Robertson, Max Domi · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–4
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
18/19 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
8/12 saves · 4 GA · 0.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
