Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 6-5-2
3–6
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 5-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
11218110330
OTT
11221039631
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 6-5-2 · OTT 5-6-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Senators
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.8 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 3–6. Joseph Woll allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 30 and 31 shots on goal.
TOR 2.7 xG · 30 shots
OTT 2.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
1.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 05:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 07:11 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Claude Giroux · 2nd 01:04 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 04:16 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 14:06 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Nick Robertson · 3rd 07:42 · 3–3 · bat shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Dominik Kubalik · 3rd 11:56 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Tim Stützle · 3rd 12:41 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
9
Claude Giroux · 3rd 15:07 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 48.
TOR 48%OTT 52%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 05:47 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 07:11 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Claude Giroux · 2nd 01:04 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 04:16 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 14:06 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Nick Robertson · 3rd 07:42 · 3–3
Bat shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Dominik Kubalik · 3rd 11:56 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Tim Stützle · 3rd 12:41 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
9
Claude Giroux · 3rd 15:07 · 3–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Mathieu Joseph, Tim Stützle · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
7
Jakob Chychrun, Vladimir Tarasenko · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Goaltending
25/31 saves · 6 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.