TOR
5–4
CGY
Final / SO · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 7-5-2
5–4
Final / SOW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 4-7-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TOR
28214011031536
CGY
1112813060428
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 7-5-2 · CGY 4-7-2 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Flames
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.5 expected goals to 2.2, and they won it in a shootout. Joseph Woll allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 36 and 28 shots on goal.
TOR 4.5 xG · 36 shots
CGY 2.2 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
3rd
1.2 · 0.4
OT
0.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 03:01 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Connor Zary · 1st 07:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 08:18 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 01:06 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 2nd 04:45 · 4–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 05:33 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
A.J. Greer · 2nd 12:22 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Martin Pospisil · 3rd 03:22 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 81.
TOR 81%CGY 19%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 03:01 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Connor Zary · 1st 07:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 08:18 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 01:06 · SH · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 2nd 04:45 · 4–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 05:33 · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
A.J. Greer · 2nd 12:22 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Martin Pospisil · 3rd 03:22 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–1
6
Andrew Mangiapane, Jonathan Huberdeau · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4–2
7
MacKenzie Weegar, Rasmus Andersson · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4–3
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Maple Leafs
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
