Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 8-5-2
5–2
FinalW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 10-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
1421325522
VAN
212011010233
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 8-5-2 · VAN 10-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Canucks
Chances were even (3.4 to 2.9 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 5–2. Thatcher Demko allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 22 and 33 shots on goal.
TOR 3.4 xG · 22 shots
VAN 2.9 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
J.T. Miller · 1st 05:43 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Knies · 1st 08:37 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Pius Suter · 1st 15:48 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 04:53 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
· 2nd 14:22 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Nick Robertson · 3rd 04:56 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
7
David Kampf · 3rd 09:13 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 58.
TOR 58%VAN 42%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
J.T. Miller · 1st 05:43 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Knies · 1st 08:37 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Pius Suter · 1st 15:48 · PP · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 04:53 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
· 2nd 14:22 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Nick Robertson · 3rd 04:56 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
7
David Kampf · 3rd 09:13 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
3
Anthony Beauvillier, Filip Hronek · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.