Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 11-6-3
2–1
Final / SOW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 13-7-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TOR
07113011011232
FLA
11501406040139
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 11-6-3 · FLA 13-7-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Panthers
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.2 to 2.6 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway. Joseph Woll stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 39 and 32 shots on goal.
TOR 2.6 xG · 32 shots
FLA 3.2 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
1.3 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
OT
0.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 15:29 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 12:54 · 1–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 40.
TOR 40%FLA 60%
Goals and penalties
2 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 15:29 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 12:54 · 1–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
1st period
1
Jonah Gadjovich, Aaron Ekblad · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Maple Leafs
Goaltending
38/39 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.