Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 12-6-3
4–3
Final / SOW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 8-10-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TOR
1132708001428
SEA
07117212040340
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 12-6-3 · SEA 8-10-6 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Kraken
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (4.5 to 2.2 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway. Joseph Woll stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 40 and 28 shots on goal.
TOR 2.2 xG · 28 shots
SEA 4.5 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 0.2
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 2.4
3rd
0.5 · 1.1
OT
0.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 06:34 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 00:21 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jared McCann · 2nd 03:37 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 16:01 · 3–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (31%)
5
Eeli Tolvanen · 3rd 06:15 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Jared McCann · 3rd 13:24 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 20.
TOR 20%SEA 80%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 06:34 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 00:21 · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jared McCann · 2nd 03:37 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 16:01 · 3–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (31%)
5
Eeli Tolvanen · 3rd 06:15 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Jared McCann · 3rd 13:24 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Alexander Wennberg, Justin Schultz · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–3
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Maple Leafs
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.