TOR
3–4
BOS
Final / OT · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 12-6-4
3–4
Final / OTL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 16-4-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
01011421105340
BOS
1711019111437
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
TOR 12-6-4 · BOS 16-4-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (3.9 to 4.1 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost it in overtime on Marchand's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.9 expected goals to 4.1, on 40 and 37 shots on goal.
TOR 3.9 xG · 40 shots
BOS 4.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd
1.3 · 1.3
OT · the swing
0.5 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 10:44 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Kevin Shattenkirk · 2nd 07:31 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 12:06 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Max Domi · 3rd 02:11 · 2–2 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (21%)
5
Trent Frederic · 3rd 13:10 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:54 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Brad Marchand · OT 04:52 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 47.
TOR 47%BOS 53%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 10:44 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Kevin Shattenkirk · 2nd 07:31 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 12:06 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Max Domi · 3rd 02:11 · 2–2
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (21%)
5
Trent Frederic · 3rd 13:10 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:54 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Brad Marchand · OT 04:52 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
