Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 14-6-4
4–0
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 14-13-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
09213215437
NSH
070605018
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 14-6-4 · NSH 14-13-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Predators
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 1.8, and a 4–0 win to show for it. Ilya Samsonov stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 37 and 18 shots on goal.
TOR 4.2 xG · 37 shots
NSH 1.8 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.5
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Kampf · 2nd 14:15 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 17:57 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (43%)
3
Auston Matthews · 3rd 16:49 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
· 3rd 18:29 · 4–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 84.
TOR 84%NSH 16%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Kampf · 2nd 14:15 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 17:57 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (43%)
3
Auston Matthews · 3rd 16:49 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
· 3rd 18:29 · EN · 4–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/18 saves · 0 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.