Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 15-6-6
5–6
Final / OTL
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 10-16-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
01001552102548
CBJ
2113150712635
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 15-6-6 · CBJ 10-16-5 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Blue Jackets
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (4.3 to 3.5 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Johnson's goal. Ilya Samsonov allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 3.5, on 48 and 35 shots on goal.
TOR 4.3 xG · 48 shots
CBJ 3.5 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd
1.5 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.6
OT
0.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Patrik Laine · 1st 06:19 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Kent Johnson · 1st 11:56 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Justin Danforth · 2nd 08:16 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Egor Chinakhov · 2nd 10:45 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Johnny Gaudreau · 2nd 14:19 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
William Nylander · 3rd 00:38 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 03:49 · 2–5 · between legs shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Jake McCabe · 3rd 14:21 · 3–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:45 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
10
Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:15 · 5–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
11
Kent Johnson · OT 03:26 · 5–6 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 60.
TOR 60%CBJ 40%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Patrik Laine · 1st 06:19 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Kent Johnson · 1st 11:56 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Justin Danforth · 2nd 08:16 · 0–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Egor Chinakhov · 2nd 10:45 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Johnny Gaudreau · 2nd 14:19 · PP · 0–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
William Nylander · 3rd 00:38 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 03:49 · 2–5
Between legs shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Jake McCabe · 3rd 14:21 · PP · 3–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:45 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
10
Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:15 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
11
Kent Johnson · OT 03:26 · GWG · 5–6
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/35 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
43/48 saves · 5 GA · 4.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.