TOR
7–0
PIT
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 16-6-6
7–0
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 13-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
311314110735
PIT
01101809038
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 16-6-6 · PIT 13-13-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Penguins
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.8 expected goals to 3.3, and a 7–0 win to show for it. Martin Jones stopped 3.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 3.3, on 35 and 38 shots on goal.
TOR 4.8 xG · 35 shots
PIT 3.3 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
2nd
2.0 · 1.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 01:57 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 10:15 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Bobby McMann · 1st 18:25 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Max Domi · 2nd 02:28 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
John Tavares · 2nd 04:25 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
6
· 2nd 14:04 · 6–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
William Nylander · 3rd 14:19 · 7–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 70.
TOR 70%PIT 30%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 01:57 · GWG · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 10:15 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Bobby McMann · 1st 18:25 · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Max Domi · 2nd 02:28 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
John Tavares · 2nd 04:25 · PP · 5–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
6
· 2nd 14:04 · PP · 6–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
William Nylander · 3rd 14:19 · 7–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/38 saves · 0 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 3.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
