TOR
2–4
OTT
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 17-9-6
2–4
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 13-17-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
21208016236
OTT
06214210430
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
TOR 17-9-6 · OTT 13-17-0 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Senators
The Maple Leafs let a 2–0 lead get away: the Senators came back with four unanswered goals — Batherson's equalizer — and won 2–4. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 36 and 30 shots on goal.
TOR 4.0 xG · 36 shots
OTT 2.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 05:41 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 06:04 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Parker Kelly · 2nd 10:17 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 14:25 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Drake Batherson · 3rd 03:44 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 17:33 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 69.
TOR 69%OTT 31%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 05:41 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 06:04 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Parker Kelly · 2nd 10:17 · SH · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 14:25 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Drake Batherson · 3rd 03:44 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 17:33 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Vladimir Tarasenko, Travis Hamonic · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
