TOR
2–3
CAR
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 17-10-7
2–3
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 20-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
01101026227
CAR
1911118328
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 17-10-7 · CAR 20-13-4 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Hurricanes
Chances were even (1.7 to 2.0 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 2–3. The Hurricanes scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.7 expected goals to 2.0, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
TOR 1.7 xG · 27 shots
CAR 2.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 02:24 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 13:52 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Timothy Liljegren · 3rd 04:16 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 19:05 · 1–3 · snap shot off the rush, into an empty net
5
Nick Robertson · 3rd 19:50 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 44.
TOR 44%CAR 56%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 02:24 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 13:52 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Timothy Liljegren · 3rd 04:16 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 19:05 · EN · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot off the rush, into an empty net
5
Nick Robertson · 3rd 19:50 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
