Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 21-10-7
7–1
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 9-29-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
216219311746
SJS
0518010123
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
TOR 21-10-7 · SJS 9-29-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Sharks
The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 1.6, and a 7–1 win to show for it. Kaapo Kahkonen allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.6, on 46 and 23 shots on goal.
TOR 3.9 xG · 46 shots
SJS 1.6 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
3rd
1.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Rielly · 1st 16:48 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 17:22 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 00:54 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Pontus Holmberg · 2nd 02:06 · 4–0 · poke shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Henry Thrun · 2nd 07:21 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jake McCabe · 3rd 01:27 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 04:00 · 6–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
8
Nick Robertson · 3rd 05:54 · 7–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 84.
TOR 84%SJS 16%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Rielly · 1st 16:48 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 17:22 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 00:54 · 3–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Pontus Holmberg · 2nd 02:06 · 4–0
Poke shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Henry Thrun · 2nd 07:21 · PP · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jake McCabe · 3rd 01:27 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 04:00 · PP · 6–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
8
Nick Robertson · 3rd 05:54 · PP · 7–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Mikael Granlund, Anthony Duclair · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.