TOR
3–5
COL
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 21-11-8
3–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 28-12-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
3150806329
COL
07213313533
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 21-11-8 · COL 28-12-3 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Avalanche
The Maple Leafs let a 3–0 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with five unanswered goals — Cogliano's equalizer — and won 3–5. The Avalanche owned the 2nd period, 1.9 to 0.7 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 33 and 29 shots on goal.
TOR 2.3 xG · 29 shots
COL 4.1 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.9
3rd
0.2 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Max Domi · 1st 06:23 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Rielly · 1st 10:47 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Timothy Liljegren · 1st 15:04 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 05:27 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (45%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 13:13 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 07:35 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:35 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:53 · 3–5 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 24.
TOR 24%COL 76%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Max Domi · 1st 06:23 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Rielly · 1st 10:47 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Timothy Liljegren · 1st 15:04 · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 05:27 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (45%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 13:13 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 07:35 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:35 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
