TOR
2–4
DET
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 21-12-8
2–4
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 22-16-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0721409230
DET
0101737424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 21-12-8 · DET 22-16-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Red Wings
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (2.9 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Copp's winner came with 1:40 left. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 30 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 2.9 xG · 30 shots
DET 1.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pontus Holmberg · 2nd 00:32 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 15:39 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 18:18 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Daniel Sprong · 3rd 02:46 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Andrew Copp · 3rd 18:20 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 19:41 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 68.
TOR 68%DET 32%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pontus Holmberg · 2nd 00:32 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 15:39 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 18:18 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Daniel Sprong · 3rd 02:46 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Andrew Copp · 3rd 18:20 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 19:41 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
