Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 24-14-8
1–0
Final / OTW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 30-11-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
0401101312130
WPG
016050704032
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 24-14-8 · WPG 30-11-5 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Jets
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.7 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won it in overtime on Matthews's goal. Ilya Samsonov stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 30 and 32 shots on goal.
TOR 2.4 xG · 30 shots
WPG 2.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.3
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
OT
0.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · OT 04:13 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 45.
TOR 45%WPG 55%
Goals and penalties
1 goal · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · OT 04:13 · GWG · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
32/32 saves · 0 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.