TOR
2–3
NYI
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 25-15-8
2–3
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 21-17-12
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
011110115236
NYI
1131917329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–3
TOR 25-15-8 · NYI 21-17-12 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–3
Maple Leafs fell to the Islanders
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.6 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Engvall's winner came with 2:02 left. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 36 and 29 shots on goal.
TOR 3.6 xG · 36 shots
NYI 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
1.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mathew Barzal · 1st 10:31 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 00:50 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Kyle MacLean · 2nd 02:50 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
4
John Tavares · 3rd 15:12 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 17:58 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 64.
TOR 64%NYI 36%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mathew Barzal · 1st 10:31 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 00:50 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Kyle MacLean · 2nd 02:50 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
4
John Tavares · 3rd 15:12 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 17:58 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
