Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 26-15-8
5–4
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 31-14-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
14212215531
DAL
21001229431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
TOR 26-15-8 · DAL 31-14-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Stars
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.7 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 5–4. Scott Wedgewood allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 31 and 31 shots on goal.
TOR 2.6 xG · 31 shots
DAL 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
1.1 · 0.9
3rd
1.0 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 06:34 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jamie Benn · 1st 14:52 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 17:23 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
John Tavares · 2nd 03:40 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 12:37 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 11:05 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 11:37 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
William Nylander · 3rd 11:57 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 18:35 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 49.
TOR 49%DAL 51%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 06:34 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jamie Benn · 1st 14:52 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 17:23 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
John Tavares · 2nd 03:40 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 12:37 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 11:05 · PS · 3–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 11:37 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
William Nylander · 3rd 11:57 · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 18:35 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.