Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 27-16-8
4–1
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 28-22-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
21009213432
STL
031804115
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 27-16-8 · STL 28-22-2 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Blues
The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 1.6, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Maple Leafs owned the 1st period, 1.5 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.6, on 32 and 15 shots on goal.
TOR 3.5 xG · 32 shots
STL 1.6 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.3
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 05:33 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 1st 16:25 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 05:36 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Bobby McMann · 3rd 08:02 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Bobby McMann · 3rd 18:21 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 80.
TOR 80%STL 20%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 05:33 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 1st 16:25 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 05:36 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Bobby McMann · 3rd 08:02 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Bobby McMann · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.