TOR
4–3
PHI
Final / OT · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 28-16-8
4–3
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 29-19-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
083110811428
PHI
11001121100332
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 28-16-8 · PHI 29-19-7 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Flyers
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.7 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won it in overtime on Nylander's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.7, on 28 and 32 shots on goal.
TOR 3.1 xG · 28 shots
PHI 2.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
1.5 · 0.9
OT
0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Travis Sanheim · 1st 07:42 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 11:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 14:20 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 18:55 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 14:14 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
6
Travis Konecny · 3rd 15:15 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
William Nylander · OT 00:54 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 56.
TOR 56%PHI 44%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Travis Sanheim · 1st 07:42 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 11:06 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 14:20 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 18:55 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Garnet Hathaway · 3rd 14:14 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
6
Travis Konecny · 3rd 15:15 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
William Nylander · OT 00:54 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
