Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 29-16-8
9–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 19-33-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
4184915932
ANA
1301018221
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
TOR 29-16-8 · ANA 19-33-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Ducks
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 2.0, and a 9–2 win to show for it. John Gibson allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.0, on 32 and 21 shots on goal.
TOR 4.0 xG · 32 shots
ANA 2.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 03:41 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Bobby McMann · 1st 06:06 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jake McCabe · 1st 10:33 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Frank Vatrano · 1st 11:32 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Nylander · 1st 17:37 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 00:50 · 5–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 02:51 · 6–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Auston Matthews · 2nd 05:39 · 7–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Bobby McMann · 2nd 17:58 · 8–1 · snap shot, a great chance (47%)
10
Ryan Strome · 3rd 15:36 · 8–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
11
Nick Robertson · 3rd 17:54 · 9–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 78.
TOR 78%ANA 22%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 03:41 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Bobby McMann · 1st 06:06 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jake McCabe · 1st 10:33 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Frank Vatrano · 1st 11:32 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Nylander · 1st 17:37 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 00:50 · PP · 5–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 02:51 · PP · 6–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Auston Matthews · 2nd 05:39 · 7–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Bobby McMann · 2nd 17:58 · 8–1
Snap shot, a great chance (47%)
10
Ryan Strome · 3rd 15:36 · 8–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
11
Nick Robertson · 3rd 17:54 · 9–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.