TOR
2–6
VGK
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 33-17-8
2–6
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 33-19-7
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
09111110230
VGK
09311312632
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 33-17-8 · VGK 33-19-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Golden Knights
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (4.1 to 2.1 expected goals) and lost 2–6. The Golden Knights owned the 2nd period, 1.9 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
TOR 2.1 xG · 30 shots
VGK 4.1 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.9
3rd
1.1 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 09:11 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Mason Morelli · 2nd 12:20 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 17:45 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
William Karlsson · 2nd 19:09 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 10:50 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
6
Ryan Reaves · 3rd 14:35 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 18:23 · 2–5 · tip in shot, into an empty net
8
Nicolas Roy · 3rd 19:29 · 2–6 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 21.
TOR 21%VGK 79%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 09:11 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Mason Morelli · 2nd 12:20 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 17:45 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
William Karlsson · 2nd 19:09 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 10:50 · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
6
Ryan Reaves · 3rd 14:35 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 18:23 · EN · 2–5
Tip in shot, into an empty net
8
Nicolas Roy · 3rd 19:29 · 2–6
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
