TOR
4–3
NYR
Final / SO · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 35-17-8
4–3
Final / SOW
New York Rangers
NYR · 40-17-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TOR
012210112001434
NYR
11016114050335
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
TOR 35-17-8 · NYR 40-17-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
Maple Leafs beat the Rangers
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.4 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 34 and 35 shots on goal.
TOR 3.1 xG · 34 shots
NYR 3.4 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
1.4 · 1.5
OT
0.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 11:33 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 03:54 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Vincent Trocheck · 2nd 05:03 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 08:54 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 3rd 07:17 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 18:53 · 3–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 45.
TOR 45%NYR 55%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 11:33 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 03:54 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Vincent Trocheck · 2nd 05:03 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 08:54 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 3rd 07:17 · 3–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 18:53 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Alexis Lafrenière, Artemi Panarin · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
5
Calle Jarnkrok, Morgan Rielly · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–2
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Maple Leafs
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
