Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 35-18-8
1–4
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 36-13-14
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
010013110133
BOS
2131717427
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–3
TOR 35-18-8 · BOS 36-13-14 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–3
Maple Leafs fell to the Bruins
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.6 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Jeremy Swayman stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 27 shots on goal.
TOR 3.6 xG · 33 shots
BOS 2.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
3rd
0.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Geekie · 1st 09:43 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Pavel Zacha · 1st 12:42 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 05:07 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 3rd 03:52 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 10:35 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 63.
TOR 63%BOS 37%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Geekie · 1st 09:43 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Pavel Zacha · 1st 12:42 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 05:07 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 3rd 03:52 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 10:35 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.