TOR
2–1
BUF
Final / OT · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 36-18-8
2–1
Final / OTW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 29-29-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
061901012227
BUF
010190303125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
TOR 36-18-8 · BUF 29-29-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
Maple Leafs beat the Sabres
The Maple Leafs earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 2.3, and they won it in overtime on Matthews's goal. Ilya Samsonov stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.3, on 27 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 2.9 xG · 27 shots
BUF 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
OT
0.6 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 2nd 02:29 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 06:31 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · OT 04:20 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (36%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 61.
TOR 61%BUF 39%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 2nd 02:29 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 06:31 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · OT 04:20 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (36%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
