TOR
4–5
CAR
Final / SO · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 38-19-9
4–5
Final / SOL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 41-20-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TOR
09314111060440
CAR
09216213021540
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
TOR 38-19-9 · CAR 41-20-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Hurricanes
The Maple Leafs let a 3–0 lead get away: the Hurricanes came back with four unanswered goals — Aho's equalizer with 0:07 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in a shootout. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 5.5 expected goals to 3.9, on 40 and 40 shots on goal.
TOR 5.5 xG · 40 shots
CAR 3.9 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.6
3rd
1.4 · 1.4
OT · the swing
2.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 2nd 04:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 2nd 06:27 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nick Robertson · 2nd 12:03 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 13:27 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 19:57 · 3–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
6
David Kampf · 3rd 02:55 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 18:28 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 19:53 · 4–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 70.
TOR 70%CAR 30%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 2nd 04:47 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 2nd 06:27 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nick Robertson · 2nd 12:03 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 13:27 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 19:57 · PP · 3–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
6
David Kampf · 3rd 02:55 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 18:28 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 19:53 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Hurricanes
Goaltending
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 5.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
