TOR
6–3
EDM
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 40-20-9
6–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 42-22-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
21031316629
EDM
06015318339
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 40-20-9 · EDM 42-22-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Oilers
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (4.0 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Stuart Skinner allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 39 and 29 shots on goal.
TOR 2.2 xG · 29 shots
EDM 4.0 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 04:17 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 1st 18:14 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Pontus Holmberg · 2nd 08:02 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Pontus Holmberg · 2nd 11:04 · 4–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Bobby McMann · 2nd 15:46 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 04:59 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Corey Perry · 3rd 08:32 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 16:21 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:47 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 24.
TOR 24%EDM 76%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 04:17 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 1st 18:14 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Pontus Holmberg · 2nd 08:02 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Pontus Holmberg · 2nd 11:04 · GWG · 4–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Bobby McMann · 2nd 15:46 · 5–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 04:59 · PP · 5–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Corey Perry · 3rd 08:32 · PP · 5–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 16:21 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:47 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
5/5 saves · 0 GA · 0.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
