Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 40-22-9
3–6
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 36-33-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
125210010345
NJD
21021025625
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 40-22-9 · NJD 36-33-4 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Devils
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.3 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 3–6. Joseph Woll allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 45 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 3.3 xG · 45 shots
NJD 2.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 1.1
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 01:04 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Luke Hughes · 1st 04:25 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nico Hischier · 1st 17:56 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 03:14 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:51 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Timo Meier · 2nd 05:35 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Max Willman · 2nd 13:05 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Jack Hughes · 3rd 16:47 · 3–5 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (35%)
9
Jack Hughes · 3rd 18:51 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 59.
TOR 59%NJD 41%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 01:04 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Luke Hughes · 1st 04:25 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nico Hischier · 1st 17:56 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 03:14 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:51 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Timo Meier · 2nd 05:35 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Max Willman · 2nd 13:05 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Jack Hughes · 3rd 16:47 · 3–5
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (35%)
9
Jack Hughes · 3rd 18:51 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
42/45 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.