TOR
6–4
FLA
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 43-22-9
6–4
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 47-23-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
283817623
FLA
0817315430
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
TOR 43-22-9 · FLA 47-23-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
Maple Leafs beat the Panthers
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.9 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 6–4. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 23 and 30 shots on goal.
TOR 2.8 xG · 23 shots
FLA 2.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Robertson · 1st 13:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (39%)
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 14:32 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Brandon Montour · 2nd 00:47 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 01:26 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
David Kampf · 2nd 08:32 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (36%)
6
Matthew Knies · 2nd 14:05 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 02:12 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 11:58 · 5–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Sam Bennett · 3rd 18:10 · 5–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:14 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 49.
TOR 49%FLA 51%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Robertson · 1st 13:59 · 1–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (39%)
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 14:32 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Brandon Montour · 2nd 00:47 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 01:26 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
David Kampf · 2nd 08:32 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (36%)
6
Matthew Knies · 2nd 14:05 · GWG · 5–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 02:12 · 5–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 11:58 · 5–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Sam Bennett · 3rd 18:10 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:14 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Vladimir Tarasenko, Aleksander Barkov · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5–3
9
Vladimir Tarasenko, Matthew Tkachuk · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5–4
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
11/16 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
