TOR
5–6
NJD
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 46-24-9
5–6
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 38-37-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
212210110532
NJD
371627620
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
TOR 46-24-9 · NJD 38-37-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Devils
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (4.0 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 5–6. Bratt's winner came with 1:14 left. Ilya Samsonov allowed 4.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 1.7, on 32 and 20 shots on goal.
TOR 4.0 xG · 32 shots
NJD 1.7 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 00:18 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Erik Haula · 1st 00:39 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Auston Matthews · 1st 06:08 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
· 1st 07:57 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Timo Meier · 1st 12:37 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 07:59 · 3–3 · deflected shot, a great chance (28%)
7
David Kampf · 2nd 09:16 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
8
Timo Meier · 2nd 19:48 · 4–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 11:03 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
John Tavares · 3rd 15:13 · 5–5 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
11
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 18:46 · 5–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 84.
TOR 84%NJD 16%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 00:18 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Erik Haula · 1st 00:39 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Auston Matthews · 1st 06:08 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
· 1st 07:57 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Timo Meier · 1st 12:37 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 07:59 · 3–3
Deflected shot, a great chance (28%)
7
David Kampf · 2nd 09:16 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
8
Timo Meier · 2nd 19:48 · PP · 4–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 11:03 · PP · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
John Tavares · 3rd 15:13 · 5–5
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
11
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 18:46 · GWG · 5–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
11
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5–6
No penalties
Goaltending
14/20 saves · 6 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 4.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 4.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
