TOR
4–5
DET
Final / OT · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 46-24-10
4–5
Final / OTL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 39-32-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
1631401600436
DET
4130601211532
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
TOR 46-24-10 · DET 39-32-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Red Wings
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.5 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Larkin's goal. Ilya Samsonov allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 36 and 32 shots on goal.
TOR 3.5 xG · 36 shots
DET 2.3 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
3rd
1.7 · 0.8
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 08:35 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 10:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Simon Edvinsson · 1st 13:39 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 17:37 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
David Perron · 1st 19:41 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Nick Robertson · 2nd 09:04 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 2nd 10:23 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
John Tavares · 2nd 17:22 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Dylan Larkin · OT 00:41 · 4–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 68.
TOR 68%DET 32%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 08:35 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 10:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Simon Edvinsson · 1st 13:39 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 17:37 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
David Perron · 1st 19:41 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Nick Robertson · 2nd 09:04 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 2nd 10:23 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
John Tavares · 2nd 17:22 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Dylan Larkin · OT 00:41 · PP · GWG · 4–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
