TOR
2–4
BOS
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-2
2–4
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0719114230
BOS
07115312434
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 1–2
TOR 1-2 · BOS 2-1 · Game 3 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 1–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.6 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 2–4. Jeremy Swayman stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, on 30 and 34 shots on goal.
TOR 3.1 xG · 30 shots
BOS 2.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd
1.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 2nd 13:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
2
Trent Frederic · 2nd 17:37 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 01:07 · 1–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 11:25 · 2–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Brad Marchand · 3rd 11:53 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brad Marchand · 3rd 19:24 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 57.
TOR 57%BOS 43%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 2nd 13:10 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
2
Trent Frederic · 2nd 17:37 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 01:07 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 11:25 · 2–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Brad Marchand · 3rd 11:53 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brad Marchand · 3rd 19:24 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
