Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-3
1–3
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
070919125
BOS
182905322
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 1–3
TOR 1-3 · BOS 3-1 · Game 4 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 1–3
Maple Leafs fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.4 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 1–3. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 25 and 22 shots on goal.
TOR 2.0 xG · 25 shots
BOS 2.4 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 15:09 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Brad Marchand · 2nd 08:20 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
David Pastrnak · 2nd 19:18 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Mitch Marner · 3rd 05:43 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 43.
TOR 43%BOS 57%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 15:09 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Brad Marchand · 2nd 08:20 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
David Pastrnak · 2nd 19:18 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Mitch Marner · 3rd 05:43 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
4
Ilya Lyubushkin, Tyler Bertuzzi · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–3
No penalties
Goaltending
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
5/5 saves · 0 GA · 0.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.