TOR
4–2
PIT
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 2-1-0
4–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 1-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
010213210433
PIT
1601017223
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 2-1-0 · PIT 1-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Penguins
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.4 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 4–2. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 33 and 23 shots on goal.
TOR 2.3 xG · 33 shots
PIT 2.4 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kris Letang · 1st 10:58 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 00:50 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Matthew Knies · 2nd 02:53 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Mitch Marner · 3rd 02:12 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 12:29 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
William Nylander · 3rd 19:38 · 4–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 48.
TOR 48%PIT 52%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kris Letang · 1st 10:58 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 00:50 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Matthew Knies · 2nd 02:53 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Mitch Marner · 3rd 02:12 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 12:29 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
William Nylander · 3rd 19:38 · EN · 4–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
