Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 3-1-0
6–2
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 1-1-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
3122717626
LAK
09014211234
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 3-1-0 · LAK 1-1-2 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Kings
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (2.6 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 6–2 anyway. David Rittich allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kings created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.9, on 34 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 1.9 xG · 26 shots
LAK 2.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
0.4 · 0.6
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 06:54 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 08:49 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Bobby McMann · 1st 17:12 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 07:56 · 4–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
William Nylander · 2nd 18:31 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alex Turcotte · 3rd 02:42 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 09:03 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
8
John Tavares · 3rd 17:16 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 38.
TOR 38%LAK 62%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 06:54 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 08:49 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Bobby McMann · 1st 17:12 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 07:56 · 4–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
William Nylander · 2nd 18:31 · PP · 5–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alex Turcotte · 3rd 02:42 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 09:03 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
8
John Tavares · 3rd 17:16 · PP · 6–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2
Mitch Marner, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
10/14 saves · 4 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.