TOR
5–2
TBL
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-2-0
5–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 3-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
18411010529
TBL
11101617234
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 4-2-0 · TBL 3-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Lightning
Chances were even (3.9 to 4.0 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 5–2. Anthony Stolarz stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.9 expected goals to 4.0, on 29 and 34 shots on goal.
TOR 3.9 xG · 29 shots
TBL 4.0 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.2 · 2.0
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 03:57 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nick Paul · 1st 15:57 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 01:56 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 07:33 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Max Pacioretty · 2nd 09:31 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Knies · 2nd 14:02 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Brayden Point · 3rd 14:53 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 48.
TOR 48%TBL 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 03:57 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nick Paul · 1st 15:57 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 01:56 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 07:33 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Max Pacioretty · 2nd 09:31 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Knies · 2nd 14:02 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Brayden Point · 3rd 14:53 · PP · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
