Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 6-4-1
4–1
FinalW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 5-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
11426110430
SEA
0110915125
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 6-4-1 · SEA 5-5-1 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Kraken
The Maple Leafs earned it: 2.3 expected goals to 1.4, and a 4–1 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.4, on 30 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 2.3 xG · 30 shots
SEA 1.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
0.6 · 0.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 19:55 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 01:39 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 2nd 09:24 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Eeli Tolvanen · 3rd 16:32 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:17 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 67.
TOR 67%SEA 33%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 19:55 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 01:39 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 2nd 09:24 · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Eeli Tolvanen · 3rd 16:32 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:17 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 1.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.