TOR
3–1
DET
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 8-5-2
3–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 6-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
1101614320
DET
081608122
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 8-5-2 · DET 6-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (1.7 to 1.9 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 3–1. The Maple Leafs scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 20 and 22 shots on goal.
TOR 1.7 xG · 20 shots
DET 1.9 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
0.5 · 0.5
3rd
0.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 11:12 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 09:10 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · 2nd 11:01 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
John Tavares · 3rd 18:30 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 47.
TOR 47%DET 53%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 11:12 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 09:10 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · 2nd 11:01 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
John Tavares · 3rd 18:30 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
