Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 9-5-2
4–1
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 4-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
1731208427
MTL
0219010121
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 9-5-2 · MTL 4-9-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Canadiens
The Maple Leafs earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 2.2, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Joseph Woll stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.2, on 27 and 21 shots on goal.
TOR 2.9 xG · 27 shots
MTL 2.2 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.8 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Conor Timmins · 1st 14:55 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 2nd 05:39 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 08:24 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Brendan Gallagher · 2nd 09:26 · 3–1 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
5
John Tavares · 2nd 12:15 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 62.
TOR 62%MTL 38%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Conor Timmins · 1st 14:55 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 2nd 05:39 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 08:24 · SH · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Brendan Gallagher · 2nd 09:26 · PP · 3–1
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
5
John Tavares · 2nd 12:15 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.