Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 9-6-2
0–3
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 8-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
090909027
OTT
11721806341
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 9-6-2 · OTT 8-7-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Senators
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.4 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 0–3. Linus Ullmark stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 27 and 41 shots on goal.
TOR 2.3 xG · 27 shots
OTT 2.4 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 1.3
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Norris · 1st 00:41 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Tim Stützle · 2nd 03:12 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Michael Amadio · 2nd 03:55 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 49.
TOR 49%OTT 51%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Norris · 1st 00:41 · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Tim Stützle · 2nd 03:12 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Michael Amadio · 2nd 03:55 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/27 saves · 0 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.