TOR
3–2
UTA
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 13-6-2
3–2
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 8-10-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
01031609335
UTA
1130617226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 13-6-2 · UTA 8-10-3 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Mammoth
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 2.2, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Karel Vejmelka stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.2, on 35 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 4.2 xG · 35 shots
UTA 2.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
3.1 · 0.5
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Cooley · 1st 17:48 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 05:15 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 09:34 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 10:50 · 3–1 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
5
Jack McBain · 3rd 01:51 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 79.
TOR 79%UTA 21%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Mammoth shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Cooley · 1st 17:48 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 05:15 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 09:34 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 10:50 · GWG · 3–1
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
5
Jack McBain · 3rd 01:51 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Logan Cooley, Michael Kesselring · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–2
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
