Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 15-7-2
4–1
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 8-15-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
191726422
CHI
0901019128
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 15-7-2 · CHI 8-15-2 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Blackhawks
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.1 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Anthony Stolarz stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blackhawks created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 28 and 22 shots on goal.
TOR 2.4 xG · 22 shots
CHI 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 15:35 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
John Tavares · 2nd 11:59 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Lukas Reichel · 3rd 03:26 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
4
Fraser Minten · 3rd 03:47 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Matthew Knies · 3rd 18:15 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 37.
TOR 37%CHI 63%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 15:35 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
John Tavares · 2nd 11:59 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Lukas Reichel · 3rd 03:26 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
4
Fraser Minten · 3rd 03:47 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Matthew Knies · 3rd 18:15 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.