TOR
1–3
WSH
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 16-8-2
1–3
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 18-6-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
051907121
WSH
0817211326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 16-8-2 · WSH 18-6-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.1 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 1–3. Charlie Lindgren stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.1, on 21 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 2.0 xG · 21 shots
WSH 2.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nic Dowd · 2nd 01:06 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
John Tavares · 2nd 11:31 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Connor McMichael · 3rd 09:51 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 19:03 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 47.
TOR 47%WSH 53%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nic Dowd · 2nd 01:06 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
John Tavares · 2nd 11:31 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Connor McMichael · 3rd 09:51 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 19:03 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
